Yes I am poll watching today. I saw at The Page where 10,000 people a day are early voting in Indiana, reports that is double from 2004. Take a look at the latest polls, it depends on who is doing the poll on who is ahead. Really now.....is it the questions they ask, the area they poll, are they over or under sampling the AA voters. Just as always the only real poll is going to happen in four days when the people vote. I still like poll watching............
Polling Data
| Poll | Date | Sample | Clinton | Obama | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RCP Average | 04/25 - 05/01 | -- | 47.6 | 41.6 | Clinton +6.0 |
| Downs Center | 04/28 - 04/30 | 689 LV | 52 | 45 | Clinton +7.0 |
| Zogby | 04/30 - 05/01 | 680 LV | 42 | 42 | Tie |
| Rasmussen | 04/29 - 04/29 | 400 LV | 46 | 41 | Clinton +5.0 |
| TeleResearch | 04/25 - 04/29 | 943 LV | 48 | 38 | Clinton +10.0 |
| PPP (D) | 04/27 - 04/28 | 1347 LV | 50 | 42 | Clinton +8.0 |
See All Indiana Democratic Primary Polling Data
FROM REAL CLEAR POLITICS
| National | Obama +0.9 | Clinton +3.1 |
| Pennsylvania | Obama +1.2 | Clinton +6.8 |
| Ohio | McCain +3.4 | Clinton +5.4 |
| Florida | McCain +9.0 | Clinton +1.7 |
| Wisconsin | Obama +4.3 | McCain +3.3 |
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Is Ongoing Democratic Campaign Good or Bad for the Party?Significantly different views between Obama supporters and Clinton supporters
Against Hillary Clinton, McCain now attracts 45% of the vote while Clinton earns 44%. On the morning of Wright’s press conference, Obama did three points better than Clinton against McCain (see recent daily results). Now, Clinton outperforms Obama by five for a swing of eight points in just four days.
In the race for the Democratic Presidential Nomination, it’s Clinton 46% Obama 44%. That’s the second straight day that Clinton has held a statistically insignificant two-point edge over Obama. However, that represents a ten-point swing since Wright’s press conference. Before Wright appeared at the National Press Club, Obama led Clinton by eight points (see recent Democratic Nomination results).
CHECK BACK FOR UPDATES FROM RASMUSSEN TODAY
In the race for the Democratic Presidential Nomination, it’s Clinton 46% Obama 44%. That’s the second straight day that Clinton has held a statistically insignificant two-point edge over Obama. However, that represents a ten-point swing since Wright’s press conference. Before Wright appeared at the National Press Club, Obama led Clinton by eight points (see recent Democratic Nomination results).
CHECK BACK FOR UPDATES FROM RASMUSSEN TODAY
UPDATE
North Carolina: Obama 49% Clinton 40%
UPDATE
Clinton Closes-In On Obama in Oregon Democratic Primary:
Barack Obama edges Hillary Clinton 50% to 44%
Barack Obama edges Hillary Clinton 50% to 44%
SurveyUSA tracking poll released 3 weeks ago, Obama is down 2, Clinton is up 2. Obama had led by 10, now leads by 6
58% Say Obama Denounced Wright for Political Convenience, not Outrage
Survey of 800 Likely Voters
April 30-May 1, 2008
| How likely is it that Barack Obama shares some of Pastor Wright’s controversial views about the United States? | |
|---|---|
Very Likely | 26% |
Somewhat Likely | 30% |
Not Very Likely | 24% |
Not at All Likely | 11% |
May 2, 2008 - North Carolina Democratic Primary Preference
| North Carolina | ||||
| Democrats | Mar 29-30 | Apr 14-15 | Apr 26-27 | Apr 30- May 1 |
| Clinton | 38% | 41% | 42% | 41% |
| Obama | 51% | 52% | 52% | 52% |
| Someone else | 4% | 2% | 2% | 2% |
| Undecided | 7% | 5% | 4% | 5% |
May 2, 2008 - Indiana Democratic Primary Preference
| Indiana | |||
| Democrats | Apr 2-3 | Apr 23-24 | Apr 30- May 1 |
| Clinton | 53% | 50% | 53% |
| Obama | 44% | 45% | 44% |
| Undecided | 3% | 5% | 3% |
