Monday, May 5, 2008


Suffolk University has a new poll out today. Sorry to start out with another poll, I will get on to other things later....


Hillary Clinton (49 percent) leads Barack Obama (43 percent) among likely Indiana Democratic voters, according to a poll released today by Suffolk University.

Six percent of Democratic voters were undecided, and 2 percent refused a response. However, 38 percent of these likely Democratic voters -- which include registered Democrats, Republicans, members of other political parties and independents -- said they would vote for John McCain in November if their Democratic choice does not win the party’s nomination.

"It’s no slam-dunk, but Hillary Clinton is poised to win the Hoosier state, provided there aren’t some critical turnovers late," said David Paleologos, director of the Suffolk University Political Research Center. "Although the margin appears to be single digits at this point, the outcome will hinge on high turnouts in Marion and Lake counties, which are crucial for Obama."

I am not going to put it all here, you need to read it all. They cover...Obama favorable rate higher...."Republican meddling".....Economy a key issue....and it shows the Methodology. So please take the time to read it all at Suffolk...

So we have Clinton ...49%...... Obama....43%......6%... undecided .....2%refused. So we know that 8% will go someplace we just don't know who they will pick. Clinton does usually pick up a lot of the undecided voters but will that change? With some polls showing people think this race is going on to long or it is hurting the democratic party, just where will they go???? OK, I am going to look and see what else is out there......

Poll: Flap over pastor hurts Obama
Barack Obama's national standing has been significantly damaged by the controversy over his former pastor, a USA TODAY/Gallup Poll finds, raising questions for some voters about the Illinois senator's values, credibility and electability......
Clinton 51, Obama 44. Two weeks ago, Obama led by 10.In February, Obama was seen as the stronger candidate against McCain by Dems and Democratic leaners by 33 points. Clinton is now seen as the stronger candidate by 5 points.

InsiderAdvantage/Majority Opinion Survey in North Carolina: Obama 48%; Clinton 45%; --Tied Within Margin of Error

May 5, 2008An InsiderAdvantage / Majority Opinion Survey conducted for the Southern Political Report shows the Democratic Primary in North Carolina tightening. The results:

Obama: 48%...Clinton: 45%...Undecided: 7%

The telephone survey was conducted Sunday May 4 of 781 registered likely voters in the Tuesday Democratic primary. It was weighted for age, race, and gender, has a margin of error of plus or minus 3%.

Zogby for 5/5/08

The CBS/NYT poll is below. The break down is..

Clinton /McCain in the general election ....Clinton 53%..McCain 41% ....Clinton +12.0%

Obama/McCain in the general election....Obama 51%..McCain 40%...Obama +11.0%


jslat said...

"Boss--The polls, the polls" Sorry a Fantasy Island flashback. Thanks for your research.. I'm on the edge of my seat for tomorrow. Each poll is like a plane sighting. My heart goes up or down with every one of them.

Lets hope HRC has really connected with the voters.

G'morning- on the way to the office. Will check your blog at lunchtime.

30yrdem said...

Polls are getting tight!!!!

jslat said...

Is the good or bad for HRC? I think good.

30yrdem said...

Good, she was like 20 points down

jslat said...

I'm heading out.. due in at 8:30. Let's hope her momentum continues- she was great on FOX and Morning Joe. Check in at noon. Would be nice if there was a SUSA today, huh?

30yrdem said...

Keeping my eye on SUSA...not out yet.